Quantitative coarse-graining of Markov chains

Coarse-graining techniques play a central role in reducing the complexity of stochastic models, and are typically characterised by a mapping which projects the full state of the system onto a smaller set of variables which captures the essential features of the system. Starting with a continuous-time Markov chain, in this work we propose and analyse an effective dynamics, which approximates the dynamical information in the coarse-grained chain. Without assuming explicit scale-separation, we prov...