Forecasting Inflation Based on Hybrid Integration of the Riemann Zeta Function and the FPAS Model (FPAS + $ζ$): Cyclical Flexibility, Socio-Economic Challenges and Shocks, and Comparative Analysis of Models | Arena Library | Arena
Forecasting Inflation Based on Hybrid Integration of the Riemann Zeta Function and the FPAS Model (FPAS + $ζ$): Cyclical Flexibility, Socio-Economic Challenges and Shocks, and Comparative Analysis of Models
Davit Gondauri
Forecasting Inflation Based on Hybrid Integration of the Riemann Zeta Function and the FPAS Model (FPAS + $ζ$): Cyclical Flexibility, Socio-Economic Challenges and Shocks, and Comparative Analysis of Models
Inflation forecasting is a core socio-economic challenge in modern macroeconomic modeling, especially when cyclical, structural, and shock factors act simultaneously. Traditional systems such as FPAS and ARIMA often struggle with cyclical asymmetry and unexpected fluctuations. This study proposes a hybrid framework (FPAS + $ζ$) that integrates a structural macro model (FPAS) with cyclical components derived from the Riemann zeta function $ζ(1/2 + i t)$. Using Georgia's macro data (2005-2024), a ...