Luciano Pollicino
Traditional macroeconomic models, based on static algebraic systems, fail to capture the dynamics of a bimonetary economy like Argentina's. This paper proposes a framework based on category theory to develop a more flexible and structured model that represents the evolving relationships between key variables such as inflation expectations, interest rates, and currency demand. Using concepts like objects, morphisms, learning/forgetful functors, limits, and colimits, the model is applied to empirical data from 2018-2023. The findings reveal a significant structural misalignment between the equilibrium and observed exchange rates and propose a new aggregate indicator to measure devaluation risk. The framework demonstrates a strong synergy with modern computational tools like machine learning, offering a more robust approach to policy analysis and forecasting in complex economies.
Quantitative mode stability for the wave equation on the Kerr-Newman spacetime
Risk-Aware Objective-Based Forecasting in Inertia Management
Chainalysis: Geography of Cryptocurrency 2023
Periodicity in Cryptocurrency Volatility and Liquidity
Impact of Geometric Uncertainty on the Computation of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Wall Strain
Simulation-based Bayesian inference with ameliorative learned summary statistics -- Part I